FPL Bargain Hunter-Gameweek 8 - FPL Draft - Rotoworld.com

Andrew Gastelum

FPL Draft

print article archives RSS

FPL Bargain Hunter-Gameweek 8

Tuesday, October 2, 2018


By Gameweek 8, you can get a pretty good idea of who the big-time players are for the rest of the year. Sadly so far, Mohamed Salah has not been one of them, evident in his early substitution after a couple of missed chances against former club Chelsea. But maybe we’ll get some fireworks in the final game this weekend as Manchester City and Liverpool send us into the international break.

 

Last weekend was a down week for Bargain Hunter picks both recent and in the past. None of last week’s bargain put any big numbers up, but I would stick with Anthony Knockaert and Charlie Taylor in the near future. Recent pick Rui Patricio put up some serious numbers though with six saves, two bonus points and a clean sheet while Luke Shaw and Andriy Yarmolenko recorded assists.

 

Over the last week I’ve fielded a couple questions about Manchester City players, including one from @diddyg91 regarding the value of John Stones. In a 10-man FPL Draft league, Didier was concerned that he would lose out on big points down the line if he dropped the underachieving center-half. But Stones’ inconsistent minutes and Pep Guardiola’s tendency to platoon defenders makes Stones a non-starter taking up space on the bench. Luckily, Didier switched Stones out for Jonny and secured the clean sheet and a goal.

 

Without further delay, here are the bargain hits and misses ahead of Gameweek 8. I’m welcoming all suggestions and debates on Twitter (@gastelumEPL)— I would love to include your thoughts here in this column next week and throughout the season.

 

All of the stats used in this column come straight from the good folks at Fantasy Premier League on a weekly basis. Our friends at FPL.com take the data from a thousand private leagues, all of which consist of eight teams, in order to minimize the impact of data from public leagues where autopick drafting is more prevalent.

 

 Of course, it’s just a sample size, so it’s not hard and fast; but it should give us a good idea of the tendencies of FPL Draft leagues and managers. Remember, the waivers deadline is a full 24 hours before the first game of the week, and the lowest-placed team in your league gets the first pick.

 

One-week Pick (OWP) - When a regular is suspended for a match, ineligible to face his parent club as a loanee, or his fill-in looks to deputize for only a week while the regular nurses a minor injury, this is where to find some replacements. They should only be looked at when you really need help at a position that week alone, and not looked at as long term plays. Best for salary cap leagues with unlimited transactions, not so much for draft leagues.

 

Short-term Pick (STP) - When a regular faces a multi-game suspension, an injury layoff lasting 2-5 weeks, international commitment, etc., this is where you look for players that can offer more beyond one week but do have a limited shelf life in most cases. Worth using a waiver claim or spending a bit more of your free agent budget (FAAB) than the One Week Buys. Can be useful in salary-cap format as long as you are comfortable with possibly needing to transfer them out in a few weeks.

 

Long-term Pick (LTP) - When a regular is either facing a month or more out or has lost his spot seemingly to someone better, these are the players that emerge as potential long-term investments and are therefore the most valuable of the group and worth paying up. Great for any format, but especially valuable in draft leagues with limited waiver claims.

 

 

BARGAINS:

 

GK – Bernd Leno (Arsenal)

The backup keeper is my bona fide pick of the week following an injury to Premier League legend Petr Cech. Leno has been chomping at the bit for his Premier League debut, which came in the second half of a 2-0 win against Watford over the weekend. With Cech ruled out for a couple weeks with the hamstring problem, I’m backing Leno as a short-term pick and also betting on him to make this his defining moment and keep the spot over Cech even after he returns post-international break.

 

Leno was once heralded as the next Manuel Neuer and could very well be his replacement in the next few years if he lives up to his potential after making the jump to Arsenal from Bayer Leverkusen this summer. With Fulham, Leicester City, and Crystal Palace in the next three gameweeks, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Leno come away with three clean sheets after blanking Everton and Watford in the last two matches. Available in 48.5 percent of our latest FPL Draft sample, expect the German international to see his ownership rise above the halfway mark by this time next week.

 

 

DEF – Matt Doherty (Wolves)

Doherty has been the pick in FPL circles and comes into the week as the most in-form defender and third-highest in-form player (behind Eden Hazard and Raheem Sterling) according to FPL.com’s form metric. That’s because Wolves have recorded three clean sheets in their last four and have only conceded one goal since their invigorating Gameweek 3 draw with league-leading Manchester City. In that time, Doherty has recorded two assists and two man-of-the-match performances, including last week’s 12-pointer in a 2-0 win over Southampton.

 

Surprisingly, the fullback is available in only 38 percent of FPL Draft leagues as draft managers have yet to take advantage of Wolverhampton’s three-back defensive system that sees Doherty employed as a right wing-back in a more attacking role. And with Crystal Palace, Watford and Brighton up next for the Championship winners before a challenging November, Doherty looks to be a promising short-term to long-term pick currently flying well under the radar.

 

 

MID – Johann Berg Gudmundsson (Burnley)

After a nine-assist season last year, Gudmundsson is off to a scintillating start this year, putting together one of his best Premier League performances in a man-of-the-match showing against Cardiff City over the weekend where he contributed to both Burnley goals with a goal and assist. Maybe Gudmundsson has been challenging the long-lost spirit of countryman Gylfi Sigurdsson, but it goes without saying that the Icelandic international is making a mark in the Premiership with a goal and four assists so far.

 

The Clarets are known for having trouble scoring as much as they are for having a stingy defense, but Gundmundsson is taking on the attacking burden Gudmundsson has embraced his role as Burnley’s main playmaker with a goal and three of his assists this season coming in the last two matches alone. The winger is available in 83 percent of FPL Draft leagues but seems to be a no-brainer when it comes to a fifth midfielder in any format, but especially in FPL Draft.

 

FWD – Luciano Vietto (Fulham)

Vietto has been overshadowed by Fulham teammate Aleksandar Mitrovic, and for good reason given the Serbian’s five goals to start the season, but Mitrovic has Vietto to thank for a few of his goals. The Argentine forward, on loan from Atletico Madrid this season, has taken no time to adapt to the rigors of the Premier League, instead recording three assists to account for nearly half of the club’s goals this season, including a two-assist performance in a 4-2 win over Burnley in Gameweek 3.

 

I’m not explicitly recommending everyone go out and sign the 24-year-old just quite yet; Vietto should be considered more for teams lacking potent attacks. However, I’m strongly suggesting adding Vietto to your watchlist for the next few weeks after earning a key role in the Cottagers attack. He’s taken in only 24 percent of FPL Draft leagues and has loads of potential as he adds more Premier League experience throughout the year. Keep a lookout for Vietto.

                                       








Video Center

  •  
    Digging for a Trade?

    Digging for a Trade?
  •  
    Dose: Freeman to IR

    Dose: Freeman to IR
  •  
    Dose: Rodgers plays hero again

    Dose: Rodgers plays hero again
  •  
    Dose: Gurley

    Dose: Gurley's big day
  •  
    Player News: Week 6

    Player News: Week 6
  •  
    Silva: Week 6 Matchups

    Silva: Week 6 Matchups
  •  
    Dose: Wentz dominates NYG

    Dose: Wentz dominates NYG
  •  
    NASCAR Fantasy: Talladega

    NASCAR Fantasy: Talladega